Monday, October 17, 2011

Greens Not Given Their Due

The media portrays itself in a number of ways.  First, they are impartial conveyors of facts. Second, they are instruments of change.

In theory.

In fact, they are often tools of the establishment for the maintenance of the status quo.

Here is one example.

On October 6th, Ontario went to the polls in a provincial election.  107 provincial parliamentary seats were up for grabs and all of them, not surprisingly, went to the 3 'traditional' parties: the Liberal Party, the Progressive Conservative Party and the New Democratic Party.  All the coverage after the election was focused on them and perhaps rightly so.

There were many, many other parties that ran a candidate in at least one electoral district -- we like to call them fringe parties -- but only one ran a candidate in every riding: the Green Party.  Does this mean they deserved some coverage?  Absolutely!  The Greens are conspicuous in their absence because they are the only fully represented party that wasn't covered!  They have already won a seat federally.  What do they have to do to be taken seriously?

Perhaps you see it differently and in your opinion running a candidate in every district isn't really newsworthy.  There had to be more to the story to give them some coverage.

Well how about this.  The Green Party finished no lower than 4th in 102 of the 107 districts.  The only exceptions were: Sarnia-Lambton (Independent); Scarborough—Rouge River (Libertarian) by a mere 2 votes; Timiskaming-Cochrane (Northern Ontario Heritage); Vaughan (Libertarian) which had the 4th highest fringe turnout in the province; and York Centre (Libertarian).  In Timiskaming-Cochrane the only female candidate finished last -- you guessed it, the Green Party candidate.  That might be an actual case of gender discrimination.  (It's conceivable that the Scarborough—Rouge River result might flip-flop when the vote counts become official.)

On the other hand, the Green Party actually beat out the NDP candidate in Dufferin-Caledon by more than 1300 votes in order to finish 3rd.

Furthermore, in the collective popular vote the Greens garnered more votes than all the fringe parties, including Independents, combined.  What's even more impressive is that this held true in 90 of 107 districts. The 17 where it didn't hold true...

Bramalea—Gore—Malton: (51% of the fringe total)  The Big 3 all ran persons of South Asian extraction.  None of the other 4 candidates were of similar ethnicity.  As it turns out, this was a poor decision, politically speaking.  93% of the votes went South Asian, as might be expected by the local demographics and by party popularity.

Burlington: (96% of the fringe total)  The retirement of the incumbent PC MPP left a tight race fought between the PCs and Liberals.  Tight races tend to minimize voting for non-traditional parties.

Etobicoke North: (67% of the fringe total)  The Ford family stomping grounds.  Not in the least bit surprising.

Hamilton Centre: (86% of the fringe total)  Ontario NDP Leader Andrea Horwath's district and a decisive victory with over 61% of the votes.  This is made all the more impressive given that Hamilton Centre was also the district with the most candidates (10).

Hamilton Mountain: (94% of the fringe total)  I can see no obvious reason here for the relatively poor performance of the Green candidate.

Huron—Bruce: (90% of the fringe total)  The only thing I can see here is a surprising turn out for the Family Coalition Party, close to their best in the province, if not the best.

Mississauga-Brampton South: (94% of the fringe total)  M-BS was the only district with 2 officially "Independent" candidates.  The Libertarian Party also had an outstanding showing here.  As in Bramalea—Gore—Malton, the Big 3 also ran 3 South Asians here.  One of the Independents was also South Asian.  The Green Party candidate was not.

Oak Ridges-Markham: (99.2% of the fringe total)  This was the only district to cast more than 1000 votes for any one fringe party, in this case, the Libertarians.  Another 600 votes cast for an Independent and that edges out the Green Party by the slimmest of margins.

Sarnia-Lambton: (46% of the fringe total)  One of the worst vote totals and the worst relative showing in the province.

Scarborough-Agincourt: (76% of the fringe total)  For some reason, Scarborough seems to be immune to the Green Party's influence.  Their performance is poor across the entire city.

Scarborough-Guildwood: (76% of the fringe total)  Another Scarborough slap-in-the-face.

Scarborough—Rouge River: (59% of the fringe total)  Yet more evidence that the Green Party has some work to do in Scarborough.

Thornhill: (98% of the fringe total)  The Libertarians and Freedom Party just edged out the Greens for total fringe vote.  A male dominated result with a female Green Party candidate. This apparent gender bias may not be significant.

Timiskaming-Cochran: (80% of the fringe total)  There's as good a chance that this was due to gender discrimination as it was due to a strong NOH showing.

Vaughan: (47% of the fringe total)  The second worst relative fringe turnout in Ontario.  This has as much to do with poor Green results as it does with excellent support for other parties (4th highest fringe vote in Ontario).

York Centre: (49% of fringe total)  One of the Libertarians strongest showings.

York West: (92% of fringe total)  The district with the 3rd lowest support for nontraditional parties and one of the lowest vote counts for the Greens in the province.

These are the unofficial results as of today as they pertain to nontraditional parties.

Party Abbreviation Legend (alphabetical order):
CCP: Canadians' Choice Party
COM: Communist
COR: Confederation of Regions
FCP: Family Coalition Party
FP: Freedom Party
IND: Independent
LTN: Libertarian Party
NA: Non-Affiliated
NOH: Northern Ontario Heritage
PCP: Paramount Canadians Party
PHR: Party For Human Rights
PSN: Party For People With Special Needs
PPO: Pauper Party
PFR: People First Republic Party
PPP: People's Political Party
REF: Reform Party
SPO: Socialist Party
TOP: The Only Party
VEP: Vegan Environmental Party

Ajax—Pickering -- margin: 182% more votes
Green: 843          Others (LTN): 299

Algoma—Manitoulin -- margin: 215% more votes
Green: 684          Others (FCP): 217

Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale -- margin: 93% more votes
Green: 1,477          Others (FCP, LTN, Freedom, Communist): 765

Barrie -- margin: 284% more votes
Green: 1,909          Others (LTN, FP): 497

Beaches—East York -- margin: 442% more votes
Green: 1,025          Others (FP, TOP): 189

Bramalea—Gore—Malton -- margin: 49% fewer votes
Green: 1,034          Others (LTN, FCP, IND) 2033

Brampton—Springdale -- margin: 60% more votes
Green: 900          Others (FCP, COM, PCP, COR) 562

Brampton West -- margin: 181% more votes
Green: 1,432          Others (FP) 509

Brant -- margin: 7% more votes
Green: 957          Others (IND, FCP, LTN, FP, PPO) 893

Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound -- margin: 29% more votes
Green: 2,654          Others (IND, FCP, LTN) 2063

Burlington -- margin: 4% fewer votes
Green: 1,129          Others (LTN, FCP, FP) 1175

Cambridge -- margin: 17% more votes
Green: 1,056          Others (LTN, IND) 900

Carleton-Mississippi Mills -- margin: 238% more votes
Green: 1,857          Others (FCP) 549

Chatham-Kent-Essex -- margin: (infintely) more votes
Green: 1,027          Others (none) 0

Davenport -- margin: 37% more votes
Green: 855          Others (IND, COM, FP, PHR, TOP) 624

Don Valley-East -- margin: 134% more votes
Green: 702          Others (FCP, FP) 300

Don Valley-West -- margin: 134% more votes
Green: 718          Others (COM, VEP, FP) 307

Dufferin—Caledon -- margin: % more votes
Green: 5,540          Others (LTN) 250

Durham -- margin: 106% more votes
Green: 1,221          Others (LTN, FP) 593

Eglinton-Lawrence -- margin: 53% more votes
Green: 575          Others (FP, IND, PSN) 377

Elgin-Middlesex-London -- margin: 247% more votes
Green: 981          Others (FP) 283

Essex -- margin: (infinitely) more votes
Green: 860          Others (none) 0

Etobicoke-Centre -- margin: 10% more votes
Green: 837          Others (LTN, FCP, FP) 761

Etobicoke-Lakeshore -- margin: 67% more votes
Green: 1,164          Others (FP, LTN, SPO, IND, NA) 697

Etobicoke North -- margin: 33% fewer votes
Green: 541          Others (FCP, FP, PCP) 811

Glengarry-Prescott-Russell -- margin: 112% more votes
Green: 770          Others (LTN, FP) 363

Guelph -- margin: 494% more votes
Green: 3,234          Others (LTN, COM, IND) 544

Haldimand-Norfolk -- margin: 259% more votes
Green: 868          Others (FCP) 242

Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock -- margin: 538% more votes
Green: 1,562          Others (FP) 245

Halton -- margin: 104% more votes
Green: 1,286          Others (FCP, FP, NA) 630

Hamilton Centre -- margin: 14% fewer votes
Green: 1,249          Others (LTN, IND, FCP, FP, COM, REF) 1450

Hamilton East-Stoney Creek -- margin: 15% more votes
Green: 692          Others (LT, FCP, FP) 601

Hamilton Mountain -- margin: 6% fewer votes
Green: 748          Others (FCP, LTN, FP) 798

Huron-Bruce -- margin: 10% fewer votes
Green: 772          Others (FCP, IND) 856

Kenora-Rainy River -- margin: 81% more votes
Green: 391          Others (NOH) 216

Kingston and the Islands -- margin: 176% more votes
Green: 1,594          Others (FCP, LTN, FP, PFR) 578

Kitchener Centre -- margin: 106% more votes
Green: 938          Others (LTN, IND, FP) 454

Kitchener-Conestoga -- margin: (infinitely) more votes
Green: 1,121          Others (none) 0

Kitchener-Waterloo -- margin: 198% more votes
Green: 1,308          Others (IND, FP) 439

Lambton-Kent-Middlesex -- margin: 41% more votes
Green: 987          Others (FCP, REF, FP) 701

Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and Addington -- margin: (infintely) more votes
Green: 1,754          Others (none) 0

Leeds-Grenville -- margin: 1,088% more votes!
Green: 1,319          Others (SPO) 111

London-Fanshawe -- margin: 28% more votes
Green: 852          Others (LTN, IND, FP) 667

London North Centre -- margin: 195% more votes
Green: 1,451          Others (FP, LTN, PPO) 492

London West -- margin: 231% more votes
Green: 1,194          Others (FP, PFR) 361

Markham-Unionville -- margin: 326% more votes
Green: 1,104          Others (LTN) 259

Mississauga-Brampton South -- margin: 6% fewer votes
Green: 1,247          Others (LTN, IND, IND) 1307

Mississauga East-Cooksville -- margin: 86% more votes
Green: 932          Others (IND, FP, PCP) 500

Mississauga-Erindale -- margin: 385% more votes
Green: 853          Others (FP) 176

Mississauga South -- margin: 114% more votes
Green: 860          Others (FP, VEP) 401

Mississauga-Streetsville -- margin: (infinitely) more votes
Green: 1,329          Others (none) 0

Nepean-Carleton -- margin: 373% more votes
Green: 1,641          Others (LTN, FP) 440

Newmarket-Aurora -- margin: (infinitely) more votes
Green: 1,256          Others (none) 0

Niagara Falls -- margin: 19% more votes
Green: 759          Others (LTN, FCP, IND, NA) 639

Niagara West-Glanbrook -- margin: 64% more votes
Green: 1,372          Others (FCP, LTN, PPP, REF, FP) 835

Nickel Belt -- margin: (infinitely) more votes
Green: 810          Others (none) 0

Nipissing -- margin: (infinitely) more votes
Green: 971          Others (none) 0

Northumberland-Quinte West -- margin: 187% more votes
Green: 1,484          Others (LTN, IND) 517

Oak Ridges-Markham -- margin: 0.8% fewer votes
Green: 1,731          Others (LTN, IND) 1745

Oakville -- margin: 10% more votes
Green: 878          Others (IND, FCP, FP) 801

Oshawa -- margin: 78% more votes
Green: 1,035          Others (LTN, FP) 582

Ottawa Centre -- margin: 208% more votes
Green: 2,184          Others (IND, LTN, COM) 709

Ottawa-Orléans -- margin: 163% more votes
Green: 886          Others (FP, LTN) 337

Ottawa South -- margin: 194% more votes
Green: 1,442          Others (LTN, PSN) 490

Ottawa-Vanier -- margin: 388% more votes
Green: 1,719          Others (FCP) 352

Ottawa West-Nepean -- margin: 275% more votes
Green: 1,485          Others (FCP) 396

Oxford -- margin: 272% more votes
Green: 1,336          Others (FCP) 359

Parkdale-High Park -- margin: 156% more votes
Green: 1,325          Others (LTN, NA, NA, IND, PPP, IND) 517

Parry Sound-Muskoka -- margin: 1,847% more votes
Green: 3,251          Others (FP) 167

Perth-Wellington -- margin: 16% more votes
Green: 918          Others (FCP, FP) 791

Peterborough -- margin: 488% more votes
Green: 1,235          Others (FP, SPO) 210

Pickering-Scarborough East -- margin: 335% more votes
Green: 1,096          Others (LTN) 252

Prince Edward-Hastings -- margin: 258% more votes
Green: 2,049          Others (FCP, LTN, PFR) 573

Renfrew-Nipissing-Pembroke -- margin: 86% more votes
Green: 574          Others (COR) 309

Richmond Hill -- margin: 222% more votes
Green: 1,268          Others (LTN) 394

St. Catharines -- margin: 182% more votes
Green: 1,066          Others (FCP, COM, CCP, FP) 378

St. Paul's -- margin: 106% more votes
Green: 1,180          Others (LTN, FP, SPO, NOH) 573

Sarnia-Lambton -- margin: 54% fewer votes
Green: 567          Others (IND, LTN) 1237

Sault Ste. Marie -- margin: 202% more votes
Green: 519          Others (FCP) 172

Scarborough-Agincourt -- margin: 24% fewer votes
Green: 722          Others (LT, PCP, FP) 948

Scarborough Centre -- margin: 85% more votes
Green: 558          Others (FP) 301

Scarborough-Guildwood -- margin: 24% fewer votes
Green: 413          Others (LTN, FP) 543

Scarborough-Rouge River -- margin: 41% fewer votes
Green: 455          Others (LTN, FCP, FP) 773

Scarborough Southwest -- margin: 211% more votes
Green: 777          Others (FP) 250

Simcoe-Grey -- margin: (infinitely) more votes
Green: 4,057          Others (none) 0

Simcoe North -- margin: (infinitely) more votes
Green: 2,488          Others (none) 0

Stormont-Dundas-South Glengarry -- margin: 39% more votes
Green: 551          Others (LTN) 396

Sudbury -- margin: 318% more votes
Green: 870          Others (FCP, IND) 208

Thornhill -- margin: 2% fewer votes
Green: 756          Others (LTN, FP) 772

Thunder Bay-Atikokan -- margin: 341% more votes
Green: 379          Others (IND) 86

Thunder Bay-Superior North -- margin: 317% more votes
Green: 555          Others (LTN) 133

Timiskaming-Cochrane -- margin: 20% fewer votes
Green: 312          Others (NOH) 391

Timmins-James Bay -- margin: 115% more votes
Green: 233          Others (FP) 108

Toronto Centre -- margin: 37% more votes
Green: 1,123          Others (LTN, COM, VEP, FP, PPP, CCP) 820

Toronto-Danforth -- margin: 55% more votes
Green: 1,354          Others (LTN, PPP, TOP, FP, CCP) 875

Trinity-Spadina -- margin: 414% more votes
Green: 2,415          Others (PSN, FP, SPO, PHR) 470

Vaughan -- margin: 53% fewer votes
Green: 694          Others (LTN, REF, IND, COR) 1,485

Welland -- margin: 99% more votes
Green: 1,005          Others (LTN) 505

Wellington-Halton Hills -- margin: (infintely) more votes
Green: 1,309          Others (none) 0

Whitby-Oshawa -- margin: 207% more votes
Green: 1,139          Others (PSN, FP) 371

Willowdale -- margin: 194% more votes
Green: 874          Others (FP) 297

Windsor-Tecumseh -- margin: 74% more votes
Green: 830          Others (LTN) 476

Windsor West -- margin: (infinitely) more votes
Green: 1,051          Others (none) 0

York Centre -- margin: 51% fewer votes
Green: 535          Others (LTN, IND, FP) 1,081

York-Simcoe -- margin: 114% more votes
Green: 1,479          Others (LTN, FP) 690

York South-Weston -- margin: 114% more votes
Green: 477          Others (FP, NA) 223

York West -- margin: 8% fewer votes
Green: 286          Others (NA, FP, IND) 310



The highest Independent tally was 1,478 in Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound.

The best fringe party performances were all put in by the Libertarians.  1,115 votes in Oak Ridges-Markham, 929 votes in Vaughan, 846 votes in York Centre and 840 in Bramalea—Gore—Malton.

Highest Green tally: 5,540 (Dufferin—Caledon)

Number of Green candidates with 1,000+ votes: 56
Number of Green candidates with 1,115+ votes (to beat the Libertarians' best showing): 46
Number of Green candidates with 1,478+ votes (to beat all other nontraditional candidates): 20
Number of Green candidates with 2,000+ votes: 9
Number of Green candidates with 3,000+ votes: 4
Number of Green candidates with 4,000+ votes: 2
Number of Green candidates with 5,000+ votes: 1

Total Green votes: 126,127
Total 'Other' votes: 54,332
ratio 2.32 : 1

In other words, the Green Party received significantly more than double the amount of votes of all the other nontraditional party, independent and non-affiliated candidates combined.

If Ontario had opted for the Mixed Proportional representation model proposed a few years ago, the Green Party would likely have earned their first provincial seat!

Mean Green tally (rounded to nearest vote): 1,179

In other words, the average Green Party candidate beat all but two nontraditional candidates (both Independents).

These numbers make it pretty clear that the Green Party has transcended its 'fringe' party status.  The only thing standing between full recognition as a traditional or legitimate party is the media who still lump them in with the 'others'.

Actually, it's worse than that. When listing the abbreviations used for political parties in tables and graphics in the Toronto Star, the editors make a value judgement.  They do not list them alphabetically. They list the traditional three parties first but not alphabetically. Instead they list the by seats won or percentage of popular vote, i.e. LIB, PC, NDP. So they set a precedent that they aren't listing the parties in alphabetical order but by popularity.

Then they do something baffling and list Independents next. Somehow, they think that being Independent is more legitimate than being a Green Party candidate.  As I've shown above, 20 Green Party candidates received more votes than the most popular Independent in the province!  Clearly, if the intent was to cite parties by popularity then the Green Party should have been listed 4th, right after the NDP.

But they weren't.  They were listed 11th.  The 'other' parties were listed from 5th to last (23rd) in a very poor attempt at alphabetical order.  Both times this list was published (once for the GTA and once for the rest of Ontario) the Libertarians somehow leaped ahead of the alphabetically superior Green Party.  There were a few other alphabetic anomalies but the point is that the Star is clearly disrespecting the Green Party, and probably intentionally.

It's time the media took a look at the numbers and changed their attitude toward the Green Party.  By burying the Greens' significant leap forward against the backdrop of fringe parties the media (in this case the Toronto Star) is deceiving the public in a way that ensures the continued monopoly on parliamentary seats held by the so called traditional parties.  Stop being an agent for the establishment and embrace your role as an agent of change!  Recognize the Greens' breakthrough!  Start treating the Green Party as a peer to the 'Big 3', or at he very least stop lumping them in with the sundry others as they clearly no longer belong with them.

Go Green!

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